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Death Rate in U.S. Expected to Surpass Birth Rate by 2030

Anew report from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projects that by 2030, America’s death rate will be higher rate than its birth rate.

The report, The Demographic Outlook: 2026 to 2056, noted that the total fertility rate has been sliding down since 2006. Meanwhile, the life expectancy at birth is expected to increase from 79.0 years in 2026 to 82.4 years in 2056.

Key Takeaways:

  • Fertility and birth rates have been declining for years.

  • According to the Congressional Budget Office, the death rate will surpass the birth rate in the U.S. in just four years.

  • The shrinking birth rate is believed to be a result of increased maternal age at the time of a first child’s birth and/or the complete avoidance of children and parenthood.

  • The only population that stands to increase is the immigrant population.

  • The population decline will lead to economic hardship as there are fewer workers to support retirees.

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2 thoughts on “Death Rate in U.S. Expected to Surpass Birth Rate by 2030”

  1. Of course the birth rate is going down, two men can’t produce a baby nor can two women. This isn’t rocket science.

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