Tuesday, Wisconsin held its Presidential Preference Primary, with polls closing at 8:00 p.m. Central Time. While the nominations of the major parties have been secured and are essentially awaiting procedural formalities, Wisconsin’s primary still offers important information looking forward
Wisconsin is a key swing state for the presidential hopefuls, with presidential candidates winning by razor-thin margins. In 2020, Joe Biden narrowly won Wisconsin with a 0.63-point margin over then-incumbent President Donald Trump, a tighter race than initially anticipated. This victory contrasted with Trump’s 2016 win over Hillary Clinton by a 0.77-point margin. Notably, Biden’s margin of victory in Wisconsin surpassed those of Al Gore and John Kerry in 2000 and 2004, respectively.
In Wisconsin, the Democrats have two problems going into the 2024 general presidential election, and both of them are of their own making. The first cracks in the foundation appear as Wisconsin’s Pro-Palestine Democrats cast protest votes in opposition to the conflict in Gaza. In Wisconsin, those votes are cast by selecting the “uninstructed delegation” option, signaling dissatisfaction with the candidates’ policies, in kindred efforts to Michigan’s “uncommitted” ballot option.
Out of 618,000 votes cast in the Michigan Democratic primary, over 100,000 voters opted for “uncommitted,” securing two of the state’s delegates. Notably, Biden was beaten by the “uncommitted” vote in Dearborn and Hamtramck, where Arab Americans make up nearly half of the population.