As the presidential primary season commences, many career politicians, “experts,” and news outlets have already made one thing abundantly clear. “While Donald Trump might win the nomination, he has no path to win the general election” they say, or something to that effect. Some suggest that even Trump and his supporters secretly know this. These are bold statements for anybody to make so early in a primary cycle, let alone people who have decades of political experience. The average person could easily read those quotes attached to prominent names and assume they must be true. But as we have seen time and again during the Trump era, when so many predict his demise, the opposite often occurs.
There are a few key elements to examine when contemplating potential election outcomes. Despite all the intricate dialogue that floods the airwaves during U.S. elections, it’s not rocket science. Measuring swing states, overall voter enthusiasm, and primary challenges is the blueprint to follow.
Every election, America focuses on a handful of states that are expected to swing the results in one’s favor. For example, the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections saw Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin play a pivotal role in the outcomes. Trump’s better-than-experts-expected performance in those states in 2016 enabled him to secure the presidency. Trump’s 2020 margins were on an even better trajectory in most of those states throughout election night in 2020 until unprecedented events denied him a second consecutive term. Those were the only five states that changed from 2016.
A deeper dive into voter turnout in those states reveals the big picture. Trump received more votes in Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania than any presidential candidate ever, Republican or Democrat, aside from Biden’s inflated numbers in those three states that were all influenced by questionable events. Had just those three states (despite there being many more with irregularities) addressed those issues, Trump would be well into his second term.
Regarding Michigan and Wisconsin, those states had not even been in play for Republicans since the late 80s. In fact, just days before the 2016 election, news outlets already accounted for those two states to be locked up for Hillary Clinton. Yet Trump not only won them in 2016, but he also received more votes than any Republican in history in 2020.
Trump won!
Remember when “ALL” news media said Trump had no chance of winning in 2016, and he won. He won in 2020 also until the suitcases of “late mail in ballots” started appearing to manipulate the final results. He has more chance to win in 2024 than any other opponent on earth, however elections and ballot counting must be totally fair and transparent. All you have to do to see this is look at his rallies and the overflowing attendence. No candidate in American history has ever had the backing and support that Donald Trump has received.
TRUMP 2024 !!!!
And he will again!